Thursday, October 27, 2011

This morning Rina is just a tropical storm and weakening. I measured a rainfall here in Belmopan of only 16.5 mm or 0.65 in... It is now just after sunset here and a new path for Rina has already been issued. It is supposed to come to a stop and go in reverse and head south again towards Belize. But only as a tropical depression. Let's see what happens. Update: by Friday Oct 28, Rina weakened rapidly and just disappeared.

Wednesday, October 26, 2011

This is my final report on Rina. Rina is now smaller and weaker, almost down to just a Tropical Storm. The direction of the storm has 2 possibilities: move up to Florida or curve back over Cuba and move to the south. I will wait until Friday to see what happens. The weather in Belmopan right now is cool and cloudy. The nights have cool now for about a week, very unusual.
Rina is weaker this morning and will likely continue to weaken during the day.  There is a cold rain falling over Belize this morning. There is a light breeze blowing from the south west here in Belmopan. The wind feels cold and damp and very winter like.

Tuesday, October 25, 2011

Rina has slowly drift to the north west. There is a lot of cold dry air surrounding this system so in my opinion this hurricane is not going to do much damage. Will see what it looks like in the morning.

Monday, October 24, 2011

The tropical depression became a cat 1 hurricane today named Rina.
Forecast to move north west then north where it may encounter cooler, drier air. The threat to Belize seems minimal. Update in the morning.

Sunday, October 23, 2011

A tropical depression has formed between Cuba and Honduras. Too soon to tell what this system is going to do. Does not look very significant at the moment. Update later.

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

First Cold front of season will be passing through Belize. Right now a cold light rain is falling. According to Ice Age Now, we may be in for a colder than normal winter. The La Nina has been gaining strength again.

Sunday, October 16, 2011

The area of low pressure drifted to the north of Belize and weakened. The total rainfall that I measured form this system was only 1.7 inches or 42.6 mm. The weather should remain fairly calm for the next few days.

Saturday, October 15, 2011

Rain from low clouds began before midnight last night and has continued intermittently to the present time. The low pressure is SE of Belize and drifting to the north west. the chance of a tropical depression forming now is low. There has been about 25 mm so far and a similar amount could be expected before the system passes.

Friday, October 14, 2011

The weather has been sunny and dry since my last report. However, things look like they are about to change. A broad area of Low Pressure is deepening just south of Belize. This system has the potential of producing heavy rainfall in the region over the next few days. The steering winds are erratic so what is going to happen over the coming few days is difficult to predict. Will make an update in the morning.

Saturday, October 8, 2011

Since my last report, there has been showery weather the entire period. As of this morning the total rainfall since the beginning of October is just over 7 inches or 180 mm. This weather was due to a large High Pressure sitting over the eastern United States which caused a moist unstable NE air flow over the Yucatan. This afternoon October 8, much drier air moved into Belize.

Sunday, October 2, 2011

There was more rain this morning beginning at sunrise and lasting till mid morning. received about 35 mm. So far this month the total rain is 2.3 inch or about 58 mm, a wet start to October. There is a potential for storm development in the south west Caribbean this time year.

Saturday, October 1, 2011

This afternoon Belize is covered with rain showers. The steering winds over Belize at the moment are very light and erratic. The general motion during the day has been from SW to NE. Due to the slow movement of this system we could get up to 25 mm of rainfall.