The area of weather mentioned yesterday, intensified during the day and is now approaching the coast of Belize. This should not bring too much rain in our area, most of the rain is to the south in Honduras. Will know by morning about the rainfall.

TS Isaac is losing strength as it moves inland along the north coast of the Gulf of |Mexico. Down here in Belize, the band of storm clouds that is the tail end of Isaac  has been disintegrating as it drifts west towards Central America. The expected rain from this may never reach the coast of Belize. The air is just to dry and stable. To add to the lack of any stormy weather is the fact that solar sunspot activity is very low.

Plenty of dry air between Central America and TD9 as shown at the far right of the image. I suspect that TD9 will most likely curve to the north west and stay well north of Belize. However it may bring along with it some rain clouds.

Seems like tropical depression #7 mentioned previously brought along with it a lot of wide spread moisture that did not impact Belize until later this past week. There was rain both Thursday night (14mm)and last night (38mm). The heaviest rain last night was in southern Belize as shown in image. This brings the total August rainfall for my location 231.0 mm or 9.1 inches. This is more than normal since August is supposed to be a more dry month. The period going forward from now should be more dry.

The leading edge of what is left of TD#7 has almost reached the coast of Belize. Once over land some thunderstorms could flare up along with some heavy rain showers. Will known what happens by this evening.

The remains of tropical depression 7 is slowly creeping westward. Will report on this system again later. So far in August I have measured 6.2 inches of rain (157mm). This brings the total for the year so far to 60 inches or 491mm. The distribution of the rainfall has been favourable to a productive growing season.

The image shows the weather conditions at 3 AM last night. A heavy thunderstorm developed rapidly after midnight around the area of Belmopan. The storm lasted from just after 2 AM and continued to 4 AM. The rainfall measured 111 mm or 4.4 inches. There was some local flooding. This weather may be associated with Ernesto and is in the storms far eastern rain band. By 8 AM the storm had collapsed and disappeared.

Ernesto crossed into Mexico before midnight last night north of the Belize border and is now at a position shown in the image. The weather in Belmopan last night was peaceful with a light drizzle, just a moderate breeze from the west. Rainfall from this storm so far has been 30mm which is about what I predicated yesterday morning. There may be some light rain today from the east rain band as seen in the image. This may be my last report on Ernesto.

Ernesto is now a Cat 1 hurricane and located northeast of Belize City and east of Chetumal Mx. Forecast to make landfall north of Chetumal. The outflow is now almost directly over Belize City as shown in image. Belmopan is receiving some rain showers due to the outer rain band to the west of the storm. However, I believe that Belmopan may get the heaviest rain from the east side of the storm once it moves inland. Will have to wait and see if this happens. The wind is very light at the moment.

Ernesto has gained some strength overnight and remains on the forecast track. Only the most northern part of Belize will be affected. Here in Belmopan there should not much affect at all, maybe just a strong breeze later today. Was hoping for more rain, but it looks like most of the rain is on the north side of the storm. We might get only about 25mm rather than the 50mm mentioned earlier. The storm is already north of Belmopan and well off the coast.

Very strange situation with Ernesto. The cloud pattern has become fragmented. Most of the storm area has blown off to the north and east of the centre of the storm. A new upper air outflow has formed just to the west of the centre. Not sure what is going to happen next. If there was no out flow then I would say the storm is going to weaken and perhaps break apart. But this new out flow is a puzzle. Will update in 3 hours. Update: There has been no significant change in the past 4 hours.

Right now Ernesto is off the north east coast of Honduras. The storm had been strengthening overnight but it appears to me that now it is weakening again. I might be wrong, but in my opinion, by the time it gets to Belize it will not be a hurricane by just a moderate tropical storm with winds of no more than 40 mph and produce about 50 mm of rain. I shall make an update this afternoon.

Ernesto has become totally disorganized. No more reports on this storm unless there is a sign of re-development. The outflow has weakened and has moved off the the southwest back towards Panama.

Ernesto has been getting smaller over the past few hours with the out flow almost directly over top now. The upper air to the west of the storm is rotating counterclockwise and may be feeding dry air into the storm. It looks like the storm will move west then north west to pass north of Belize. At this time I do not think this storm will become a major threat.

This morning Tropical Storm Ernesto looks more threatening. The image on the right shows that an upper air outflow has moved northeastward closer to the centre of the storm. Late yesterday this upper air circulation was situated closer the east coast of Panama. A strong clockwise outflow over the top of a tropical storm is a good sign of the storm becoming stronger. Will update my observation this afternoon.

Tropical Storm Ernesto position at the present time along with steering layer. Too soon for me to make a prediction.