Very strange situation with Ernesto. The cloud pattern has become fragmented. Most of the storm area has blown off to the north and east of the centre of the storm. A new upper air outflow has formed just to the west of the centre. Not sure what is going to happen next. If there was no out flow then I would say the storm is going to weaken and perhaps break apart. But this new out flow is a puzzle. Will update in 3 hours. Update: There has been no significant change in the past 4 hours.