Since may last report three cold fronts passed through during the first 2 weeks of December.
There was 50mm of rain with the first front the first 2 days of the the month. After that, there has been no rainfall. The night time temperatures have been cooler than normal for this time of year. The day time has been sunny and pleasant with low humidity. The image shows the persistent dry region around the Gulf of Mexico. However, some moisture is attempting to push in from the east at the present time. Belize is currently in a drought situation. Crops planted in November are now suffering from lack of moisture.

The total rainfall from the weather system described on Nov. 18 was 150 mm or 5.9 in which occurred over a 5 day period ending  Nov.22. This rain was triggered by a slow moving cold front that was passing just to the north on Belize.

The weather for the past few days has been real nice. However,another cold front should be approaching for the weekend and this may set off some bad weather.

Rainfall Warning

Large area of rain affecting Belize.

There is also a cold front approaching from the northwest.

Will report again tomorrow morning.

November 11, 2010 Report

The weather has been cool and dry since the cold front passed through Belize Nov.5

This afternoon an area of low cloud is moving in from the Caribbean carrying with it some light rain showers.

First Cold Front of season

Nov.3 strong cold front approaching, brought heavy rain 4 to 7 PM local time, 82 mm.

Nov. 4 cold front now well passed Belize followed by secondary front pushed by strong High Pressure.

Nov. 5 sunny and cool day. Morning of Nov. 6 very cool at sunrise, 60 F with clear sky. Quite cold for this time of year.

Hurricane Richard

Kindly disregard everything I said about "RICHARD" in my previous reports.

Hurricane Richard did not weaken as expected once making landfall. Instead it remained a category 1 hurricane, becoming smaller in diameter and more intense. It created a narrow path of destruction thorough the center of the country. Belmopan experience hurricane force winds October 24, from about 7:45PM to 11:45 PM with the eye of the storm passing over around 9:30PM.

I do not have any weather map pictures due to the fact that the electrical power failed at the same time as the hurricane arrived.

Hurricane Richard

Richard has just barely made it to becoming a hurricane while about 90 miles east of the coast of Belize.
At this time the weather in Belmopan overcast but no rain. The wind is light from the west.
Right now it appears that the storm is becoming more ragged with the clouds on the north side becoming less dense. The wind field is very small and should affect only a small area of the coast with winds of 80 to 90 kph.
The wind should drop rapidly once the storm moves inland. Damage if any should be minimal.
I doubt if the rainfall will be as high as predicted (4 to 6 inches). Here in Belmopan we will lucky to get even 2 inches. Wind will be of no concern here.

Richard

As predicted in my previous report, tropical storm Richard is now breaking apart.

Belize may experience a few thundershowers tonight but nothing unusual for this time of year.

Richard is a very small storm and may not last much longer as it is impacted by the proximity to land.

TS Richard Friday Night

Here is my current prediction for Richard:
This storm is going to break apart and the pieces will drift around until almost nothing is left of this storm. I do not agree with any of the conventional forecasts.
Why? There is no halo around the moon tonight. The solar activity is very low. The outflow centre has drifted well to the south of the storm. Dry air from Belize is being sucked into the west side of the storm. The upper air around the storm is electrically inactive. The surface air pressure is too high.

TS Richard

The Richard system has elongated and connected with moisture over Costa Rica. Also the centre of outflow has shifted slightly to the east of Richard. Plus there is a dome of very dry air over Belize and surrounding area. All these factors are hampering the formation of Richard becoming a hurricane. My prediction at this time is that Richard will just wander around for awhile then dissipate, allowing a new system to develop east of Richard.