TS Richard

The Richard system has elongated and connected with moisture over Costa Rica. Also the centre of outflow has shifted slightly to the east of Richard. Plus there is a dome of very dry air over Belize and surrounding area. All these factors are hampering the formation of Richard becoming a hurricane. My prediction at this time is that Richard will just wander around for awhile then dissipate, allowing a new system to develop east of Richard.

Richard

Here is my prediction for TS Richard:

Based on the fact that the Sun is fairly quiet, I think Richard will not develop into anything except a disorganized cluster of showers.

Will update later today.

No Rain

So far this month there has been only 7 mm of rain. We are in drought conditions.

Weather systems that form in the southwest Caribbean, are moving north then swinging northeast.

No rain is moving westward towards Belize.

The Caribbean is under the influence of another Omega Block.

Except for what is left of Paula located at the western tip of Cuba, the Caribbean (including Belize) is clear.

Paula has moved north as I predicted last night, and has become smaller. The anticyclone centre has moved far to the southeast so Paula is being subjected to a strong southerly wind shear.

Belize will get no rain at all from this storm. Not good news for the farmers.

This morning the sky is clear.

Tropical Storm Paula formed this afternoon.

The storms outflow is located off to the northeast of the center of the storm and this should act as an anchor on its movement and cause the storm to move more towards the north rather than to the west.

Belize may only experience a few showers, drifting off from the extreme western edge of the system.

The low pressure trough is still stuck between Cuba and Panama. It refuses to move toward Central America.

The weather over Belize remains cool and dry.

The OMEGA block previously mentioned is finally breaking down allowing a band of light showers to approach Central America. I do not expect any significant rainfall from this system.

In general the weather making systems in the Caribbean are very weak. Geophysical activity is low and the sun is clear of any sunspots. Therefore, there is nothing out there to stir up a big storm.

The Caribbean is still under the influence of an "Omega" block.
Weather systems are pretty much stationary.
This block is making it sort of difficult for any hurricanes to form and move towards Central America.
The chances of Belize getting hit by a hurricane this year are becoming more remote by the day.

The weather over the past 2 days has been uneventful.

Just a nice cool westerly breeze and dry air. great weather for working outdoors.

We are in a weather block over the Caribbean basin where systems are not moving very much. Just forming and collapsing over the same area. Going to see what happens tomorrow.