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The upper level trough has moved south and east and is now further away from Belize. Belize remains dry with most of the active weather down in the Panama area. The polar circulation has change very little over the past 4 days, The CW rotation is at 77.3 N / 105.4 W and the the CCW near Siberia at 64.0 N / 73.9 E.

There has been an increase in the moisture in the Caribbean. An upper air trough of Lower Pressure is forming as shown in the lower left image. An increase in convection is expected over the next few days. The Sahara air off Africa is weakening.
Polar Circulation update: The CW High Pressure is dominating again and has rotated back again towards the North Pole. Now centered at 75.8 N / 100.8 W. A strong active cold front is pushing down from Canada. Severe weather warnings issued.

The total rainfall from last report weather system due to cold front was 70 mm which is quite a lot of rain for this time in the dry season. Now Belize is back in the dry again as seen in the water vapour image. Meanwhile there has been a big change in the polar circulation. The CW loop has become much weaker and moved off to the north and west while the larger CCW loop and now got a double centre and has expanded. This looks like there will be colder than normal temperature for Canada over the coming week.